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Calibrated Re-engagement: ASEAN's Benchmark Problem and the Road to 2028
Featured Insights, Geopolitics, Political Economy, Public Affairs Maverick Consulting Group Featured Insights, Geopolitics, Political Economy, Public Affairs Maverick Consulting Group

Calibrated Re-engagement: ASEAN's Benchmark Problem and the Road to 2028

Thailand has given its Myanmar policy a name, calibrated re-engagement, and a set of benchmarks to go with it. Its own foreign minister has since confirmed that no commitment was secured. MCG examines the framework ASEAN is quietly building in place of the Five-Point Consensus, why the bloc remains divided over it, and what the road to Thailand's 2028 chairmanship means for business across the border.

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Thailand Land Bridge: The Trillion-Baht Corridor Stopped Post-Review

Thailand Land Bridge: The Trillion-Baht Corridor Stopped Post-Review

A rate of return falling from 8 per cent to 4.8. A net present value moving from positive 600 billion baht to negative 10,287 million. Two feasibility studies that disagreed for years, and a committee that finally chose between them. Thailand has stopped its trillion-baht Land Bridge and named a 110 km railway in its place. A rate of return falling from 8 per cent to 4.8. A net present value moving from positive 600 billion baht to negative 10,287 million. Two feasibility studies that disagreed for years, and a committee that finally chose between them. Thailand has stopped its trillion-baht Land Bridge and named a 110 km railway in its place. MCG reads the decision past the announcement: whose arithmetic won, what the replacement has not been through, and why it is being built to a gauge that cannot serve its own purpose.

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Thailand's Land Bridge and the Moving Map It Must Account For

Thailand's Land Bridge and the Moving Map It Must Account For

Thailand is reviewing its nearly trillion-baht plan to bypass the Strait of Malacca. We weigh the Land Bridge against the chokepoint data, energy forecasts, port competition, and geopolitics that have shifted since the original 2024 study, and ask which version of the idea still holds up before the 90-day review reports.

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Thailand's Land Bridge: The Trillion-Baht Question Returns

Thailand's Land Bridge: The Trillion-Baht Question Returns

Three feasibility studies that disagree. Sixty-seven per cent public support that admits limited understanding. An SEC Bill with eighteen statutory exemptions. A pipeline pivot now folded into the cabinet brief. A strategic reading of Thailand's Land Bridge as the Anutin government begins its 90-day review.

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